NEW: Many new things actually, I worked like crazy on the site these last couple of days, but mostly on this new feature:
developer & publisher data.
The full list is here:
https://lestrades.com/studios/ (there are over 10k entries, so I hope to add pagination & sorting at some point. Sorry for the ugly UI, I was more focused on building the feature than making it look great.)
On most games (*they need to be Steam and not DLCs or junk*), you'll now have a 'Studio' link, with clickable developer & publisher names.
Let's imagine you're looking at an anime game, and you'd like to see if
there's a chance it'll be bundled soon.For instance, let's take a look at 'Forget me not', a game currently at a nice discount on Steam.
I click on the publisher link, AGM PLAYISM:
https://lestrades.com/studio/995/What does it say?
"48 games released by this studio. 27% bundled so far.
Last seen bundled: Momodora: Reverie Under the Moonlight, 2 months ago."
Oh, so that publisher got a game in a Humble Monthly recently. You'll recognize some of their other games as having been bundled at Humble over the last few years (Astebreed, Mitsurugi, Kero Blaster...). Looking at release dates, it becomes quickly obvious that the publisher usually doesn't like bundling games, but will occasionally bundle a recent game (e.g. Mitsurugi was released 2014 and bundled the same year). The 'Momodora' series has been bundled before, so it's not new.
Anyway, considering that only 27% of their catalog got bundled so far, my conclusion is that it's unlikely for 'Forget me not' to be bundled in the near future, despite its top discount (which usually suggests imminent bundling.)
Another example...
Emerald City Confidential is in my wishlist. Chances of ever being bundled?
Developed by Wadjet Eye Games, published by PlayFirst.
Let's click Wadjet Eyes (sometimes, developers decide whether they'll be bundled; mostly it's the publisher though.)
Bad luck: no bundling in over a year, but only 2 games unbundled. One of them is Shardlight, their most recent game; indicating that it's very likely to be bundled within a year, unless Wadjet changed their policy. (Probably bundled when their next game is out, as promotional work.)
What about Emerald..? Oh, bugger, it's the only game not published by Wadjet. Directly from the Wadjet page, I can click the publisher name, PlayFirst, and see that it released many games, but bundled 0% of them.
Conclusion: nope, no chance in Hell that this game is getting bundled anytime soon. (Worse, it's basically from the 'back catalog' of that publisher, meaning it's never even on sale. Hasn't been in years.)